Forest Devil
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 12
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1042 | 47% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1038 | 1080 | 44% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1002 | 66% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1018 | 1058 | 44% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1136 | 45% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1012 | 65% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
| 986 | 1136 | 30% | 2010-08-02 | Won |
| 987 | 1136 | 30% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1169 | 1309 | 31% | 2010-05-26 | Won |
| 1098 | 1155 | 42% | 2010-04-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1204 | 1183 | 53% | 2010-02-24 | Won |
| 911 | 1088 | 27% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
| 965 | 1183 | 22% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1115.8 has a 41.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).