Forest Devil
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (20 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 40
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1015 | 51% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1139 | 38% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1120 | 977 | 69% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1020 | 1058 | 45% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1045 | 65% | 2010-11-05 | Won |
| 1183 | 1151 | 55% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1123 | 1028 | 63% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
| 978 | 1151 | 27% | 2010-08-02 | Won |
| 987 | 1151 | 28% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1168 | 1333 | 28% | 2010-05-26 | Won |
| 1100 | 1143 | 44% | 2010-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1201 | 1185 | 52% | 2010-02-24 | Won |
| 911 | 1050 | 31% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
| 1152 | 996 | 71% | 2009-10-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1018 | 49% | 2009-08-28 | Won |
| 963 | 1185 | 22% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1094 has a 46.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).