Encircle This!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (19 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Russian): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1058 | 38% | 2025-03-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1100 | 45% | 2020-01-21 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1131 | 42% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1058 | 53% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1024 | 60% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1256 | 914 | 88% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1072 | 44% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 989 | 1039 | 43% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1024 | 1123 | 36% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 950 | 65% | 2010-04-21 | Won |
| 1019 | 1076 | 42% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1174 | 27% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1263 | 52% | 2009-10-10 | Won |
| 989 | 1140 | 30% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1073.3 has a 46.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).