Encircle This!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (20 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Russian): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1099 | 32% | 2025-03-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1101 | 44% | 2020-01-21 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1138 | 37% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1138 | 34% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1058 | 45% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1084 | 52% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1156 | 54% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1042 | 49% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 988 | 1040 | 43% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 984 | 60% | 2010-04-21 | Won |
| 1344 | 1032 | 86% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1167 | 30% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1187 | 25% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-07 | Won |
| 1060 | 1176 | 34% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1263 | 52% | 2009-10-10 | Won |
| 988 | 1141 | 29% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1091 has a 45.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).