Encircle This!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (20 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Russian): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1185 | 29% | 2025-03-13 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1136 | 34% | 2020-01-21 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1045 | 56% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 982 | 1045 | 41% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 974 | 1058 | 38% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1074 | 53% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1211 | 837 | 90% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1084 | 43% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 1103 | 1046 | 58% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1051 | 1181 | 32% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1181 | 29% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 982 | 70% | 2010-04-21 | Won |
| 1217 | 1032 | 74% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1064 | 44% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1140 | 31% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-07 | Won |
| 1072 | 928 | 70% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1185 | 59% | 2009-10-10 | Won |
| 1103 | 1158 | 42% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066.5 vs 1056.7 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).