Cutting Off the Tail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Kuomintang (KMT)): 2
Defender wins (Red Army): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1162 | 878 | 84% | 2024-06-24 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2022-05-25 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1129 | 37% | 2009-12-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1075.5 vs 1001.8 has a 60.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).