Unplanned Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 997 | 71% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 1023 | 995 | 54% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2014-01-09 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1333 | 40% | 2013-08-30 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1100 | 45% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 870 | 1100 | 21% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1106 | 48% | 2010-02-18 | Lost |
| 977 | 872 | 65% | 2009-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1093.6 has a 42.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).