Unplanned Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1043 | 46% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 995 | 63% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 1096 | 1309 | 23% | 2014-01-09 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1309 | 43% | 2013-08-30 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1098 | 45% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 866 | 1010 | 30% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2010-02-18 | Lost |
| 1002 | 871 | 68% | 2009-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1091.1 has a 42.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).