Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (6 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German (SS)): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 981 | 61% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1151 | 40% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1310 | 16% | 2013-12-07 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2012-08-02 | Won |
| 1167 | 1023 | 70% | 2010-11-23 | Won |
| 1011 | 995 | 52% | 2010-06-19 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1034.5 vs 1093 has a 41.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).