Disaster on the Dnieper Loop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1012 | 48% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
| 1142 | 1169 | 46% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1026 | 992 | 55% | 2013-05-05 | Won |
| 975 | 1183 | 23% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1034.5 vs 1089 has a 42.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).