The Front in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1019 | 45% | 2026-04-27 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 909 | 983 | 40% | 2020-03-21 | Tied |
| 948 | 1093 | 30% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1037 | 985 | 57% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
| 1151 | 951 | 76% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1163 | 1123 | 56% | 2018-01-25 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1079 | 1060 | 53% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 983 | 1038 | 42% | 2015-01-30 | Won |
| 1136 | 1087 | 57% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 972 | 1158 | 26% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1033 | 993 | 56% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
| 945 | 1001 | 42% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1033 | 47% | 2013-12-31 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1225 | 26% | 2013-10-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1083 | 47% | 2013-09-30 | Won |
| 1065 | 958 | 65% | 2013-08-01 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-04 | Won |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 988 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-08-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1028 | 51% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
| 1038 | 955 | 62% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 882 | 1038 | 29% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2005-05-22 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2005-05-21 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2004-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1025.9 vs 1038.3 has a 48.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).