Sowchos 79
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (13 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 888 | 1167 | 17% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1106 | 61% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1135 | 62% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
| 973 | 1033 | 41% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 1145 | 1109 | 55% | 2013-10-19 | Won |
| 973 | 959 | 52% | 2011-07-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 1061 | 43% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 1117 | 1132 | 48% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1109 | 56% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1061.2 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).