Sowchos 79
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (13 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 1070 | 38% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1039 | 68% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 948 | 1110 | 28% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 1141 | 982 | 71% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
| 1110 | 1034 | 61% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 1144 | 1108 | 55% | 2013-10-19 | Won |
| 960 | 957 | 50% | 2011-07-27 | Won |
| 1015 | 1059 | 44% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 1118 | 1133 | 48% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
| 1149 | 967 | 74% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1084.8 vs 1051 has a 54.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).