A Winter Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (18 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 18
Defender wins (German): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1161 | 1169 | 49% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1077 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1046 | 951 | 63% | 2018-07-20 | Won |
| 901 | 1168 | 18% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1002 | 51% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 999 | 51% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1225 | 958 | 82% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
| 993 | 910 | 62% | 2015-11-30 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1083 | 52% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1002 | 1008 | 49% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1002 | 983 | 53% | 2013-04-17 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1266 | 53% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2012-12-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1037 | 65% | 2011-09-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 958 | 57% | 2009-08-04 | Won |
| 975 | 1183 | 23% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 1990-08-22 | Tied |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1047.9 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).