Something to Prove
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Yugoslavian (NOVJ)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1142 | 991 | 70% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
993 | 1158 | 28% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2014-05-03 | Lost |
1153 | 1175 | 47% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
1060 | 1092 | 45% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
1132 | 1085 | 57% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2009-06-08 | Lost |
1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
962 | 1127 | 28% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
994 | 1189 | 25% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
1164 | 1099 | 59% | 2008-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1077.2 vs 1087.1 has a 48.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).