Panzergeist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (31 on the archive and 95 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 83
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2025-10-19 | | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2025-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-12-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2022-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 880 | 67% | 2021-09-04 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2020-12-29 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1127 | 63% | 2017-10-02 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1159 | 58% | 2017-10-02 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2016-12-26 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2016-12-05 | | Won |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2016-09-06 | | Won |
| 1134 | 962 | 73% | 2016-04-24 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-03-01 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2015-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2015-01-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2014-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1155 | 38% | 2013-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2013-07-10 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2012-10-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2012-02-03 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1130 | 52% | 2010-10-06 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1015 | 71% | 2009-10-21 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1180 | 62% | 2009-10-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2009-09-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2009-06-30 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2009-05-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2009-04-25 | | Lost |
| 922 | 1000 | 39% | 2009-03-26 | | Won |
| 970 | 1090 | 33% | 2009-03-21 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1209 | 26% | 2009-03-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2009-02-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1038.8 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).