After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian ): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 1317 | 42% | 2025-12-12 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1088 | 65% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
| 1037 | 984 | 58% | 2019-11-23 | Won |
| 1110 | 969 | 69% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 867 | 1029 | 28% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1055 | 952 | 64% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 1141 | 1170 | 46% | 2009-12-05 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1095.1 vs 1072.7 has a 53.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).