After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian ): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 1317 | 42% | 2025-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1179 | 1087 | 63% | 2022-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2019-11-23 | | Won |
| 1100 | 978 | 67% | 2017-06-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2015-10-09 | | Won |
| 1055 | 954 | 64% | 2015-05-30 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1171 | 46% | 2009-12-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1110.7 vs 1076.6 has a 54.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).