The Sound of Hoof Beats
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 2
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2026-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-09-05 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1073.7 vs 986.3 has a 62.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).