Fitzgerald's Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1077 | 52% | 2024-07-04 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1126 | 37% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1131 | 62% | 2020-10-22 | Lost |
| 979 | 1026 | 43% | 2016-08-03 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 951 | 1054 | 36% | 2014-01-13 | Won |
| 1107 | 987 | 67% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 931 | 953 | 47% | 2011-08-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1106 | 45% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1011 | 56% | 2011-01-09 | Won |
| 1090 | 1151 | 41% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
| 988 | 1094 | 35% | 2009-04-05 | Won |
| 972 | 1001 | 46% | 2008-09-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1043.5 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).