The Head of the Mace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (13 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 42
Defender wins (Polish): 53
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 973 | 56% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 1157 | 932 | 79% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1073 | 40% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1114 | 44% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1119 | 60% | 2016-11-08 | Won |
| 994 | 987 | 51% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 918 | 1018 | 36% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 801 | 854 | 42% | 2011-12-03 | Won |
| 920 | 983 | 41% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1257 | 32% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1052 | 46% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1138 | 40% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
| 985 | 1036 | 43% | 2008-09-09 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.4 vs 1041.2 has a 47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).