Glide Path to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2024-07-22 | Lost |
| 924 | 1170 | 20% | 2021-08-26 | Won |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 949 | 904 | 56% | 2017-07-27 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-05-08 | Lost |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2009-08-26 | Lost |
| 1099 | 694 | 91% | 2009-01-24 | Lost |
| 1099 | 694 | 91% | 2009-01-10 | Tied |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1030.9 vs 977.3 has a 57.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).