Morning's Peril
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (8 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2026-08-11 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-10-01 | | Won |
| 901 | 1204 | 15% | 2021-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2017-03-17 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1226 | 20% | 2016-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1204 | 1000 | 76% | 2013-12-21 | | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 695 | 89% | 2008-11-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1020.1 vs 1049.8 has a 45.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).