Factory in Flix
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (12 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Spanish Republican): 26
Defender wins (Spanish Nationalist): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2024-08-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2023-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2021-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2020-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2020-10-09 | | Lost |
| 820 | 1125 | 15% | 2020-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2011-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1019 | 49% | 2010-03-07 | | Won |
| 827 | 1000 | 27% | 2008-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1344 | 1011 | 87% | 2008-01-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1032.6 has a 51.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).