Hammer and Nail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 1124 | 34% | 2020-02-20 | Tied |
| 1031 | 1209 | 26% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 900 | 998 | 36% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 870 | 1100 | 21% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2008-05-15 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1105 | 52% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1078.9 has a 45.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).