Hammer and Nail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 1077 | 999 | 61% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 992 | 1161 | 27% | 2020-02-20 | Tied |
| 1012 | 1216 | 24% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1102 | 965 | 69% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1047 | 48% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1060 | 66% | 2008-05-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1119 | 51% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1077.5 has a 46.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).