Hammer and Nail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 15
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2024-12-27 | | Won |
| 1060 | 994 | 59% | 2021-09-04 | | Won |
| 992 | 1161 | 27% | 2020-02-20 | | Tied |
| 1013 | 1216 | 24% | 2019-12-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2016-06-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 920 | 61% | 2013-11-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2013-06-23 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-07-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1048 | 43% | 2011-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1040 | 66% | 2008-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1196 | 24% | 2008-05-03 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1009.2 vs 1077.1 has a 40.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).