A Dangerous Possibility
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (11 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 32
Defender wins (German): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-04-24 | Won |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 968 | 982 | 48% | 2015-01-12 | Won |
| 1067 | 925 | 69% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-04-25 | Won |
| 1084 | 1010 | 60% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1030 | 47% | 2009-01-13 | Lost |
| 978 | 1150 | 27% | 2008-05-15 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1090 | 39% | 2008-02-28 | Lost |
| 985 | 1151 | 28% | 2008-02-02 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1069 | 65% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1026.7 vs 1057.3 has a 45.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).