Russe! Drown in the Wolga!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (21 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 38
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2024-02-19 | D | Won |
| 886 | 692 | 75% | 2020-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 876 | 78% | 2019-03-10 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2018-05-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2016-08-01 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2016-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-03-29 | | Won |
| 944 | 1219 | 17% | 2014-11-06 | | Tied |
| 1233 | 992 | 80% | 2014-03-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2012-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-11-19 | | Won |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 2012-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2011-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-04-15 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1004 | 69% | 2010-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1021 | 65% | 2009-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-12-03 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-12-03 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-11-02 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2008-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2008-03-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 987.8 has a 62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).