Through Fire And Ice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (10 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Finnish): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 852 | 70% | 2023-12-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 927 | 85% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1065 | 1228 | 28% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1096 | 68% | 2011-05-22 | Won |
| 1245 | 1105 | 69% | 2010-03-19 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1189 | 28% | 2009-05-23 | Won |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2008-11-24 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1089 | 57% | 2008-11-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1138 | 45% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1148 | 1010 | 69% | 2007-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1123.6 vs 1072.3 has a 57.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).