Through Fire And Ice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (8 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Finnish): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1228 | 1011 | 78% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
995 | 1228 | 21% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
1228 | 1094 | 68% | 2011-05-22 | Won |
1275 | 1106 | 73% | 2010-03-19 | Lost |
1028 | 1150 | 33% | 2009-05-23 | Won |
1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2008-11-24 | Lost |
1134 | 1074 | 59% | 2008-11-16 | Won |
1110 | 1137 | 46% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1134 vs 1109.3 has a 53.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).