The Last Circle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 982 | 68% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 891 | 977 | 38% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1053 | 1016 | 55% | 2017-10-29 | Lost |
| 949 | 1010 | 41% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1016 | 58% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1044 | 54% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1100 | 50% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1081 | 1179 | 36% | 2007-11-04 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1040.5 has a 50.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).