Retreat From Bairak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 903 | 1309 | 9% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1208 | 33% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1195 | 1142 | 58% | 2023-04-25 | Won |
| 1148 | 969 | 74% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1092 | 67% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 1011 | 1008 | 50% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1025 | 958 | 60% | 2020-02-19 | Won |
| 840 | 1088 | 19% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1143 | 31% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1009 | 45% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1088 | 33% | 2009-03-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1080 | 48% | 2008-06-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-26 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1028 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1036.2 vs 1082.7 has a 43.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).