Red Don
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 767 | 94% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 913 | 1030 | 34% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1029 | 58% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 1049 | 991 | 58% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1336 | 14% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 944 | 984 | 44% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 979 | 1336 | 11% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
| 950 | 987 | 45% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 997 | 58% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1089 | 42% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 996 | 973 | 53% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 983 | 62% | 2012-06-27 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1027 | 71% | 2011-06-09 | Lost |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2010-05-30 | Lost |
| 996 | 1017 | 47% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 929 | 963 | 45% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
| 994 | 928 | 59% | 2007-09-29 | Won |
| 949 | 1110 | 28% | 2007-08-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1025.1 vs 1037.7 has a 48.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).