Red Don
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 766 | 93% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1071 | 1041 | 54% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 1049 | 997 | 57% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1313 | 15% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 945 | 984 | 44% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 979 | 1313 | 13% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
| 1010 | 987 | 53% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 969 | 62% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1074 | 45% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 1010 | 974 | 55% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 984 | 62% | 2012-06-27 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1027 | 68% | 2011-06-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1010 | 57% | 2010-05-30 | Lost |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 1209 | 963 | 80% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
| 994 | 927 | 60% | 2007-09-29 | Won |
| 964 | 1107 | 31% | 2007-08-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1029.2 has a 52.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).