Red Don
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (Italian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1022 | 50% | 2025-08-31 | Won |
| 1156 | 762 | 91% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 942 | 1028 | 38% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1030 | 59% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1333 | 14% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 944 | 984 | 44% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 979 | 1333 | 12% | 2019-04-24 | Lost |
| 982 | 987 | 49% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1040 | 52% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1051 | 48% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 973 | 57% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 984 | 62% | 2012-06-27 | Lost |
| 998 | 901 | 64% | 2011-06-10 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1013 | 71% | 2011-06-09 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1020 | 56% | 2010-05-30 | Lost |
| 959 | 1009 | 43% | 2010-05-08 | Won |
| 950 | 963 | 48% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
| 994 | 928 | 59% | 2007-09-29 | Won |
| 964 | 1106 | 31% | 2007-08-26 | Won |
| 1030 | 1103 | 40% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1025.5 vs 1027.8 has a 49.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).