Village of the Damned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 210 (59 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 99
Defender wins (Italian / German): 111
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1108 | 1096 | 52% | 2024-03-30 | Won |
| 1027 | 1007 | 53% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 917 | 917 | 50% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 1003 | 1106 | 36% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1048 | 938 | 65% | 2021-10-14 | Lost |
| 923 | 936 | 48% | 2021-09-12 | Won |
| 1126 | 1145 | 47% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1126 | 55% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1259 | 29% | 2020-11-01 | Lost |
| 1250 | 1164 | 62% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 963 | 994 | 46% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1250 | 769 | 94% | 2020-10-02 | Won |
| 1214 | 906 | 85% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1142 | 36% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 949 | 55% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1250 | 998 | 81% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 999 | 1095 | 37% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1273 | 22% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1140 | 37% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 881 | 1046 | 28% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1064 | 51% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1094 | 999 | 63% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 999 | 975 | 53% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
| 933 | 1038 | 35% | 2015-03-23 | Won |
| 999 | 975 | 53% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1116 | 36% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 981 | 908 | 60% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 983 | 940 | 56% | 2012-09-05 | Won |
| 1001 | 1100 | 36% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1055 | 69% | 2012-02-28 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1228 | 26% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1011 | 1007 | 51% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1018 | 63% | 2011-06-22 | Lost |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1005 | 996 | 51% | 2009-12-20 | Won |
| 1084 | 1010 | 60% | 2009-12-04 | Lost |
| 987 | 882 | 65% | 2009-05-22 | Won |
| 879 | 1023 | 30% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-04-03 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-02-19 | Won |
| 1074 | 1134 | 41% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2007-11-06 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1180 | 27% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1083 | 48% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2007-09-05 | Lost |
| 998 | 955 | 56% | 2007-08-10 | Lost |
| 996 | 1164 | 28% | | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1048 has a 49.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).