Last Ally, Last Victory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (36 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 53
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 990 | 50% | 2024-11-17 | Lost |
| 991 | 1282 | 16% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 878 | 880 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-06-15 | Won |
| 963 | 1037 | 40% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1012 | 68% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 960 | 1037 | 39% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-24 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1256 | 22% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1138 | 48% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1151 | 53% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1163 | 47% | 2020-06-01 | Won |
| 1173 | 933 | 80% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
| 942 | 864 | 61% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 965 | 1040 | 39% | 2019-06-28 | Lost |
| 1004 | 991 | 52% | 2017-12-29 | Won |
| 977 | 950 | 54% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
| 991 | 993 | 50% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 991 | 54% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
| 1018 | 991 | 54% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
| 951 | 884 | 60% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 879 | 991 | 34% | 2016-09-15 | Lost |
| 991 | 879 | 66% | 2016-08-18 | Tied |
| 1216 | 1201 | 52% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 985 | 986 | 50% | 2012-05-02 | Won |
| 1216 | 884 | 87% | 2012-03-21 | Lost |
| 981 | 991 | 49% | 2012-01-16 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2011-07-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 1039 | 47% | 2009-03-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-28 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 1019.8 has a 52.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).