ASL Scenario Archive

Last Ally, Last Victory

Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (38 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (German): 28

Defender wins (Russian): 55

With balance for the attacker (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (German): 0

Defender wins (Russian): 1

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Balance	Outcome
1000	1000	50%	2026-10-21		Won
999	1005	49%	2026-06-26		Lost
1000	993	51%	2024-11-17		Lost
1000	1264	18%	2024-09-19	A	Lost
878	1000	33%	2023-09-23		Lost
1161	1000	72%	2023-06-15		Won
962	1002	44%	2023-01-28		Lost
970	1028	42%	2022-09-01		Lost
1107	994	66%	2022-02-19		Lost
960	1002	44%	2021-04-13		Lost
1031	1000	54%	2021-02-24		Lost
1002	1235	21%	2021-01-11		Lost
1000	1138	31%	2021-01-03		Lost
1000	1152	29%	2020-10-14		Lost
1000	1164	28%	2020-06-01		Won
1172	932	80%	2020-03-15		Won
925	864	59%	2020-01-19		Lost
1218	1000	78%	2019-11-11		Lost
989	1000	48%	2019-11-05		Lost
965	1047	38%	2019-06-28		Lost
1006	1000	51%	2017-12-29		Won
975	1000	46%	2017-08-19		Won
1000	1005	49%	2017-03-07		Lost
1025	1000	54%	2017-02-14		Lost
1025	1000	54%	2017-02-14		Lost
889	885	51%	2017-01-10		Lost
892	1000	35%	2016-09-15		Lost
1000	892	65%	2016-08-18		Tied
1215	1000	78%	2015-05-30		Won
1000	999	50%	2012-05-02		Won
1215	885	87%	2012-03-21		Lost
982	1000	47%	2012-01-16		Lost
1203	999	76%	2011-07-10		Won
1000	1039	44%	2009-03-19		Lost
1000	920	61%	2009-01-18		Lost
1009	1000	51%	2007-12-08		Lost
1000	1009	49%	2007-06-09		Won
1000	1009	49%	2007-05-28		Won

Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1020.4 vs 1012.2 has a 51.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).