Last Ally, Last Victory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (36 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 53
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 993 | 48% | 2024-11-17 | Lost |
| 979 | 1274 | 15% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 878 | 880 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-06-15 | Won |
| 963 | 1018 | 42% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 968 | 1031 | 41% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
| 1129 | 992 | 69% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 960 | 1018 | 42% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1257 | 20% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1137 | 48% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1149 | 53% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1163 | 47% | 2020-06-01 | Won |
| 1173 | 931 | 80% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
| 913 | 864 | 57% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
| 1224 | 979 | 80% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 965 | 1046 | 39% | 2019-06-28 | Lost |
| 1005 | 979 | 54% | 2017-12-29 | Won |
| 977 | 929 | 57% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
| 979 | 1004 | 46% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 1004 | 979 | 54% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
| 1004 | 979 | 54% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
| 903 | 884 | 53% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 877 | 979 | 36% | 2016-09-15 | Lost |
| 979 | 877 | 64% | 2016-08-18 | Tied |
| 1216 | 1201 | 52% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 984 | 1015 | 46% | 2012-05-02 | Won |
| 1216 | 884 | 87% | 2012-03-21 | Lost |
| 981 | 979 | 50% | 2012-01-16 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1022 | 71% | 2011-07-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 1039 | 47% | 2009-03-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-28 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1030.2 vs 1016.8 has a 51.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).