Joseph 351
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (Allies): 17
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 999 | 55% | 2024-10-13 | Won |
| 1246 | 999 | 81% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 1125 | 1134 | 49% | 2023-05-10 | Lost |
| 1027 | 969 | 58% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 980 | 53% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
| 1113 | 999 | 66% | 2022-03-24 | Tied |
| 1431 | 1049 | 90% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 979 | 1038 | 42% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 1143 | 1165 | 47% | 2021-09-26 | Lost |
| 925 | 1043 | 34% | 2021-08-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 1041 | 64% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1001 | 967 | 55% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
| 1026 | 989 | 55% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 1003 | 999 | 51% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 899 | 1046 | 30% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1162 | 50% | 2017-07-24 | Lost |
| 960 | 923 | 55% | 2017-07-15 | Won |
| 1034 | 881 | 71% | 2016-06-15 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-04-10 | Won |
| 1012 | 923 | 63% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
| 978 | 999 | 47% | 2013-09-26 | Won |
| 938 | 999 | 41% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 940 | 983 | 44% | 2011-12-21 | Lost |
| 938 | 999 | 41% | 2011-04-24 | Won |
| 1007 | 1094 | 38% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
| 1022 | 889 | 68% | 2010-09-28 | Lost |
| 884 | 1215 | 13% | 2010-06-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2010-02-24 | Tied |
| 1215 | 913 | 85% | 2009-12-23 | Lost |
| 1017 | 931 | 62% | 2008-12-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-28 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1026.1 has a 53.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).