Vossenack Church
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (22 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 976 | 45% | 2026-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1057 | 42% | 2026-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1160 | 31% | 2026-06-26 | | Won |
| 786 | 976 | 25% | 2023-11-19 | | Tied |
| 930 | 1000 | 40% | 2023-03-20 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-12-17 | | Won |
| 1077 | 953 | 67% | 2021-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2012-03-18 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2010-12-22 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1073 | 37% | 2009-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 866 | 77% | 2009-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1435 | 8% | 2008-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1138 | 61% | 2008-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2008-08-30 | | Won |
| 996 | 996 | 50% | 2008-08-09 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2008-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 862 | 84% | 2008-02-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-01-22 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2007-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2007-05-20 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2007-04-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1031.7 vs 1036.6 has a 49.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).