Broken Beek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (18 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 965 | 60% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 1055 | 975 | 61% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1082 | 1244 | 28% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 970 | 1012 | 44% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1136 | 48% | 2023-02-19 | Lost |
| 929 | 1114 | 26% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 976 | 63% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2014-05-27 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1143 | 42% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 903 | 1038 | 31% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1228 | 1018 | 77% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
| 1082 | 985 | 64% | 2008-08-07 | Lost |
| 994 | 1100 | 35% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1274 | 32% | 2007-03-02 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1419 | 30% | 2007-02-01 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1058 | 54% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1075.8 vs 1092.2 has a 47.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).