Broken Beek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-24 | | Lost |
| 955 | 1036 | 39% | 2023-06-09 | | Won |
| 849 | 1000 | 30% | 2023-03-05 | | Lost |
| 942 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 942 | 58% | 2014-06-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-06-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1128 | 1000 | 68% | 2010-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-04-04 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2008-10-26 | | Won |
| 849 | 1000 | 30% | 2008-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 857 | 69% | 2008-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 857 | 69% | 2008-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2007-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2007-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 988.7 vs 983.8 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).