Tale of the Comet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (8 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 29
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1019 | 42% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1144 | 1184 | 44% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1060 | 61% | 2024-09-14 | Lost |
| 731 | 1140 | 9% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1035 | 54% | 2010-08-10 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1013 | 53% | 2007-07-06 | Won |
| 1037 | 1184 | 30% | 2007-06-27 | Won |
| 1184 | 1058 | 67% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1038.1 vs 1086.6 has a 43.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).