Tale of the Comet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (7 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 27
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1147 | 1189 | 44% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1045 | 65% | 2024-09-14 | Lost |
| 712 | 1151 | 7% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1032 | 54% | 2010-08-10 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2007-06-27 | Won |
| 1189 | 1086 | 64% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1027.3 vs 1100.3 has a 39.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).