Tale of the Comet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (8 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 29
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1019 | 43% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1144 | 1248 | 35% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1060 | 61% | 2024-09-14 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1036 | 54% | 2010-08-10 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1051 | 52% | 2007-07-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 1248 | 26% | 2007-06-27 | Won |
| 1248 | 1057 | 75% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1107.4 has a 42.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).