Old Hickory's Path
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (2 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 1177 | 46% | 2008-10-06 | Won |
| 1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2006-11-26 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1140.5 vs 1134.5 has a 50.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).