Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1000 | 70% | 2025-01-15 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2024-06-03 | A | Won |
| 959 | 1127 | 28% | 2022-09-04 | | Won |
| 1036 | 993 | 56% | 2022-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1111 | 56% | 2022-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1133 | 52% | 2022-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2021-11-20 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2021-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-05-11 | | Won |
| 1078 | 981 | 64% | 2018-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-03-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2018-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2017-02-28 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1051 | 72% | 2017-01-31 | | Won |
| 959 | 1060 | 36% | 2014-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1170 | 32% | 2014-07-27 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1109 | 25% | 2011-03-06 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2009-10-14 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1031 | 73% | 2009-04-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2009-01-01 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2008-11-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1034.7 vs 1056.6 has a 46.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).