Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (21 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1159 | 45% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1117 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1045 | 993 | 57% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1191 | 35% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1177 | 37% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1024 | 990 | 55% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 1009 | 1057 | 43% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 892 | 62% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 959 | 1176 | 22% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 941 | 56% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1274 | 1056 | 78% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 969 | 1059 | 37% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1170 | 32% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 918 | 1086 | 28% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 904 | 903 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
| 1214 | 1068 | 70% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
| 973 | 1002 | 46% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1023.7 vs 1059.8 has a 44.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).