The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (French): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 989 | 78% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 912 | 1012 | 36% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1084 | 41% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 970 | 984 | 48% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1309 | 1096 | 77% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
| 917 | 1309 | 9% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1208 | 29% | 2018-02-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1219 | 34% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 978 | 1243 | 18% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 963 | 63% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 983 | 55% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1084 | 40% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 982 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 967 | 1043 | 39% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1039 | 61% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1334 | 20% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1010 | 56% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1169 | 935 | 79% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1068 | 978 | 63% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 978 | 984 | 49% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1064 | 52% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
| 931 | 1183 | 19% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1077.5 has a 45.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).