The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (French): 10
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 997 | 69% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 916 | 1028 | 34% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 968 | 1051 | 38% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
| 917 | 1333 | 8% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1139 | 61% | 2018-02-08 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1219 | 35% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 916 | 1243 | 13% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 958 | 63% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 985 | 50% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 982 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1080 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 959 | 1079 | 33% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1065 | 58% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
| 1050 | 1336 | 16% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1011 | 57% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1127 | 981 | 70% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1051 | 916 | 69% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 916 | 995 | 39% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1078 | 59% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
| 928 | 1185 | 19% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2006-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1074.6 has a 45.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).