Marders not Martyrs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 212 (47 on the archive and 165 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 121
Defender wins (German): 90
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-09-08 | Won |
| 935 | 989 | 42% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1313 | 15% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1042 | 45% | 2023-10-29 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1101 | 44% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1252 | 924 | 87% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-03-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 944 | 1162 | 22% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1108 | 966 | 69% | 2021-08-09 | Lost |
| 950 | 1193 | 20% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1055 | 1166 | 35% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1204 | 36% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
| 960 | 896 | 59% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
| 1004 | 984 | 53% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1004 | 984 | 53% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 923 | 984 | 41% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2013-01-08 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2013-01-07 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
| 1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2012-01-04 | Won |
| 1153 | 1014 | 69% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2011-06-20 | Won |
| 928 | 1109 | 26% | 2010-09-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1001 | 43% | 2010-08-23 | Lost |
| 920 | 959 | 44% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
| 996 | 1089 | 37% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-03-20 | Tied |
| 982 | 1012 | 46% | 2008-09-02 | Won |
| 1089 | 960 | 68% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
| 927 | 1132 | 24% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
| 985 | 1189 | 24% | 2007-10-28 | Won |
| 1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2007-10-17 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2007-09-18 | Won |
| 1081 | 1170 | 37% | 2007-06-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2007-02-16 | Won |
| 1041 | 1185 | 30% | 2006-12-02 | Won |
| 1057 | 1100 | 44% | 2006-11-24 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2006-11-14 | Won |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2006-09-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1047 | 45% | 2006-09-15 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-09-07 | Lost |
| 966 | 1037 | 40% | 2006-09-05 | Won |
| 893 | 1025 | 32% | 2006-08-23 | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1063.5 has a 45.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).