Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (17 on the archive and 171 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 91
Defender wins (American): 97
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 861 | 71% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1009 | 55% | 2023-10-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1091 | 50% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1088 | 878 | 77% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1099 | 1029 | 60% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1143 | 41% | 2014-11-29 | Lost |
| 986 | 1136 | 30% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1154 | 60% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1040 | 911 | 68% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1285 | 1309 | 47% | 2008-02-28 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-03-28 | Won |
| 847 | 1208 | 11% | 2003-08-21 | Lost |
| 910 | 1208 | 15% | 1999-07-29 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 1998-01-29 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1115 | 58% | 1996-10-06 | Lost |
| 856 | 1169 | 14% | 1996-09-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.4 vs 1083.8 has a 45.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).