Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (17 on the archive and 171 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 91
Defender wins (American): 97
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 864 | 74% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2023-10-24 | Won |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 997 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1118 | 876 | 80% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1104 | 1034 | 60% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1154 | 39% | 2014-11-29 | Lost |
| 978 | 1163 | 26% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1153 | 61% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1029 | 877 | 71% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1285 | 1329 | 44% | 2008-02-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2006-03-28 | Won |
| 834 | 1200 | 11% | 2003-08-21 | Lost |
| 920 | 1200 | 17% | 1999-07-29 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 1998-01-29 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1125 | 50% | 1996-10-06 | Lost |
| 866 | 1127 | 18% | 1996-09-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1082.1 has a 46.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).