Scotch on the Rocks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (13 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 34
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 968 | 50% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 852 | 846 | 51% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
| 1220 | 1094 | 67% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
| 1099 | 877 | 78% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 1004 | 877 | 68% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1220 | 13% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1313 | 28% | 2016-12-26 | Lost |
| 614 | 877 | 18% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1065 | 65% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 990 | 998 | 49% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2001-09-18 | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 1997-08-01 | Won |
| 1105 | 960 | 70% | 1996-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 987.8 vs 1018.7 has a 45.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).