Asking for Trouble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (8 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 1007 | 50% | 2022-10-12 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1047 | 49% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1056 | 981 | 61% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 1214 | 890 | 87% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 982 | 933 | 57% | 2014-09-26 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1149 | 44% | 2005-02-05 | Lost |
| 935 | 986 | 43% | 2004-12-04 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1004.9 has a 56.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).