First Crack at Hellzapoppin' Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (9 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1114 | 1223 | 35% | 2021-07-18 | Won |
| 1048 | 994 | 58% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1138 | 973 | 72% | 2019-01-21 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1238 | 37% | 2018-09-05 | Won |
| 957 | 1132 | 27% | 2016-09-05 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1086 | 57% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1208 | 36% | 2005-08-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1144 | 45% | 2004-07-17 | Lost |
| 712 | 1151 | 7% | 2003-09-25 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1127.7 has a 39.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).