Lorraine Series #1: Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (4 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 1154 | 21% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 896 | 896 | 50% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1029 | 1122 | 37% | 2006-12-12 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1120 | 52% | 2004-05-08 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 996.3 vs 1073 has a 39.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).