The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (British): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1164 | 1099 | 59% | 2026-04-22 | | Won |
| 1200 | 990 | 77% | 2026-04-21 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1031 | 67% | 2025-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-04-24 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2013-06-11 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-12-03 | | Won |
| 1144 | 1098 | 57% | 2010-07-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2009-04-25 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2007-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2003-12-06 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2003-10-11 | | Won |
| 1344 | 1009 | 87% | 2001-11-09 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1112.2 vs 1050.3 has a 58.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).