Vulcan's Forge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 1079 | 56% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 991 | 989 | 50% | 2019-04-22 | Lost |
| 1219 | 933 | 84% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 868 | 964 | 37% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 1329 | 24% | 2009-02-17 | Lost |
| 933 | 1039 | 35% | 2006-10-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1044 | 51% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2005-06-23 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-06-13 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1063.7 has a 48.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).