Vulcan's Forge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1044 | 54% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1051 | 988 | 59% | 2019-04-22 | Lost |
| 1216 | 932 | 84% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 897 | 965 | 40% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 997 | 1263 | 18% | 2015-05-22 | Won |
| 1127 | 1219 | 37% | 2009-02-17 | Lost |
| 933 | 1056 | 33% | 2006-10-21 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1080 | 44% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-06-23 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2005-06-13 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 1074.3 has a 46.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).