For Whom the Bells Toll
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (12 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 65
Defender wins (German (SS)): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 993 | 52% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1208 | 1133 | 61% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 959 | 1040 | 39% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1027 | 56% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2007-11-07 | Won |
| 1079 | 1089 | 49% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 927 | 1006 | 39% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1413 | 15% | 2007-01-31 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1263 | 29% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1189 | 30% | 2006-06-27 | Won |
| 1160 | 1133 | 54% | 2004-03-19 | Lost |
| 995 | 1105 | 35% | 2004-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070.3 vs 1134.9 has a 40.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).