Fangs of the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (10 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 916 | 64% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 984 | 1065 | 39% | 2018-08-18 | Won |
| 1159 | 1089 | 60% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 1185 | 889 | 85% | 2008-05-27 | Won |
| 1035 | 1284 | 19% | 2008-05-13 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-05-11 | Lost |
| 1106 | 999 | 65% | 2004-12-31 | Won |
| 1046 | 1139 | 37% | 2003-12-05 | Won |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2002-11-07 | Lost |
| 897 | 916 | 47% | 2002-10-24 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1065.2 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).