The Mius Trap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (10 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1256 | 1187 | 60% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1176 | 61% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 920 | 1069 | 30% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1252 | 985 | 82% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1232 | 994 | 80% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
| 964 | 1101 | 31% | 2006-04-02 | Won |
| 1001 | 905 | 63% | 2006-03-10 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 1173 | 866 | 85% | 2003-07-24 | Won |
| 1173 | 1066 | 65% | 2002-08-08 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1132.8 vs 1044.4 has a 62.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).