The Mius Trap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (10 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1257 | 1154 | 64% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
1257 | 1248 | 51% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
885 | 1219 | 13% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
1336 | 986 | 88% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
1181 | 980 | 76% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
965 | 1098 | 32% | 2006-04-02 | Won |
1001 | 996 | 51% | 2006-03-10 | Won |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
1152 | 856 | 85% | 2003-07-24 | Won |
1152 | 1068 | 62% | 2002-08-08 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1128.4 vs 1070.1 has a 58.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).