One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (12 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (Canadian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1190 | 1102 | 62% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 1256 | 34% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1082 | 44% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1152 | 35% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-09-08 | Won |
| 1139 | 970 | 73% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 1039 | 66% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
| 830 | 1139 | 14% | 2002-08-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 994 | 71% | 2002-03-23 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1030 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1096 vs 1071.7 has a 53.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).