One Tough Canuck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (13 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 34
Defender wins (Canadian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1113 | 57% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 1178 | 1255 | 39% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 965 | 1002 | 45% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 923 | 77% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1165 | 34% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-09-08 | Won |
| 1118 | 960 | 71% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1165 | 1076 | 63% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1067 | 61% | 2004-12-04 | Won |
| 833 | 1072 | 20% | 2002-08-13 | Won |
| 1165 | 995 | 73% | 2002-03-23 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1009 | 87% | 2001-06-24 | Lost |
| 1164 | 990 | 73% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1115.2 vs 1048.2 has a 59.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).