Orlik and the Uhlans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (8 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Polish): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1124 | 49% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1252 | 20% | 2015-10-12 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1105 | 56% | 2014-09-06 | Won |
| 844 | 1060 | 22% | 2013-06-25 | Won |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2000-06-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1133 | 45% | 1999-12-05 | Won |
| 1010 | 1059 | 43% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1002.9 vs 1120 has a 33.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).