A Stroke of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (7 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-08-26 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2000-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2000-05-13 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 1999-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1999-10-09 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1059 | 50% | 1999-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 1998-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1066.4 has a 47.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).