Two Pounds in Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (9 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 15
Defender wins (German ): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 996 | 44% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1150 | 37% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 1062 | 916 | 70% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1267 | 21% | 2001-01-01 | Won |
| 916 | 1072 | 29% | 2000-10-28 | Won |
| 1032 | 957 | 61% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1040 | 58% | 1999-01-25 | Won |
| 1112 | 1078 | 55% | 1999-01-23 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1059.6 has a 47.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).