Forest Fighting in Latvia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1161 | 1124 | 55% | 2025-10-19 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2023-07-14 | Won |
| 970 | 902 | 60% | 2023-01-31 | Lost |
| 1186 | 984 | 76% | 2022-05-24 | Won |
| 844 | 966 | 33% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 916 | 1139 | 22% | 2019-09-27 | Lost |
| 949 | 950 | 50% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1041 | 60% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1101 | 38% | 2018-02-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1221 | 28% | 2017-09-22 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1050 | 55% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1053 | 48% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2014-04-03 | Lost |
| 1091 | 958 | 68% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1069 | 42% | 2012-06-14 | Won |
| 1274 | 1190 | 62% | 2011-11-23 | Lost |
| 1016 | 984 | 55% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 919 | 61% | 2008-12-05 | Lost |
| 994 | 999 | 49% | 2008-02-03 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2007-05-14 | Won |
| 1021 | 1011 | 51% | 2005-10-01 | Lost |
| 1181 | 866 | 86% | 2000-10-05 | Tied |
| 1208 | 1109 | 64% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1064 | 1029 | 55% | 1999-05-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-08-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1250 | 45% | 1998-03-11 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1055.6 vs 1052.3 has a 50.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).