Forest Fighting in Latvia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1145 | 53% | 2025-10-19 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-07-14 | Won |
| 970 | 900 | 60% | 2023-01-31 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1160 | 58% | 2022-05-24 | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 916 | 1139 | 22% | 2019-09-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 933 | 52% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1097 | 54% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1083 | 40% | 2018-02-12 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1225 | 24% | 2017-09-22 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1050 | 50% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 993 | 56% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2014-04-03 | Lost |
| 1151 | 958 | 75% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1069 | 42% | 2012-06-14 | Won |
| 1211 | 1191 | 53% | 2011-11-23 | Lost |
| 1015 | 952 | 59% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 906 | 63% | 2008-12-05 | Lost |
| 972 | 999 | 46% | 2008-02-03 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2007-05-14 | Won |
| 1150 | 1019 | 68% | 2005-10-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 866 | 82% | 2000-10-05 | Tied |
| 1209 | 1021 | 75% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1065 | 1019 | 57% | 1999-05-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-08-27 | Lost |
| 1290 | 1263 | 54% | 1998-03-11 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1053 has a 51.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).